The June 22nd U.S. strikes on Iran’s three nuclear sites (commonly known as Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan) have triggered a sudden and growing surge of Americans leaving the nation. But what is behind this exodus? Multiple threats and fears of a full-scale conflict, which are making many Americans feel unsafe even within their own borders. What once seemed a safe haven in Western Europe is now becoming a volatile area with a high number of American military bases that makes the Old World a potential target for attacks and terrorism.
Unlike past waves of migration, people are not just trying to free themselves from President Donald Trump’s Republican policies. Indeed, what is happening now is a global repositioning driven by the belief that finding real safety as U.S. expats might mean going farther than anyone expected. As European leaders geared up to give asylum to Americans, from Portugal to Spain and France, recent developments have complicated the equation. As seen in a recent intelligence report over 21,000 U.S. residents have filed relocation paperwork to EU countries since January 2025.
But quantitative evidence leaves little room for doubt. Research says 42% of Americans who are already living in European major cities (or nearby countries) are voicing concerns and facing new layers of bureaucratic tightening, and lack of security with a spread of disillusionment as a consequence.
Top safe countries outside Europe Americans are looking at
President Trump’s decision to fight against Iran was the straw that broke the camel’s back. According to data shared by migration analysts, a broader part of American residents and expats living in the Western world have already made a list in case a war escalation occurs. What matters the most seems to be political neutrality, a strategic location, and social stability.
A Talker Research Poll states over 5% of Americans abroad are already thinking about starting a new life in Switzerland (not a NATO member), Finland, Iceland, and Austria. The reason? They all share the art of being neutral, an admiring tradition of hospitality toward international people (especially Americans) along well-organized public services, and low crime rates.
What risks do Americans face by remaining in major European countries?
Among significant risks Americans are claiming to fear are:
- Rising targeted terror attacks: U.S. residents planning to relocate or people of the American community are complaining about being considered potential targets in European nations. At the moment, Italy (most requested destination among expats applying for dual citizenship), Spain and France have already been raised to Level 2 by the U.S. Department of State.
- Permit Uncertainty: If there was a military escalation, Americans residing abroad might have permit issues, bringing emergency evacuations or restrictions.
- Diplomatic Crises: In emergency scenarios, U.S. natives could face challenges linked to difficulties in reaching embassies or escape.
